Climate Risk Assessment Toolkit for Forestry

The purpose of this study was to substantiate the system of indicators for assessing the degree of danger of climate risks in forestry. Based on the results of the study of the main approaches to the definition of climatic risks in forestry and the study of their consequences, a system of indicators for assessing the degree of danger of climatic risks in forestry was developed and scientifically justified. This system of indicators for assessing the degree of danger of climate risks in forestry is based on a pragmatic approach associated with the availability of long-term statistical data, and is supported by the latest scientific data in the field of forest ecosystem dynamics under the influence of climate variability factors. The system of indicators can become the basis for planning the implementation of adaptation measures in the field of forest use, protection, conservation and reproduction, including with regard to the main climatic risks caused by changes in forest productivity due to changes in the average values of temperature and precipitation, changes in the species (types) composition of forests, an increase in the frequency of (forest) fires in forests and areas covered by fires, an increase in the frequency of outbreaks of mass reproduction of pests. This work is aimed at forming a scientific basis for a comprehensive assessment of climate risks and developing a strategy to minimize them, this will ensure the sustainability of forestry to climate change and maintain its environmental and economic stability. The developed indicators can be integrated into existing forest management methods, contributing to the improvement of the practical implementation of adaptation measures and policies in the field of environmental protection.

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