Changes in the average height of aspen forests (genus Populus L.) in the climatic gradients of Eurasia
https://doi.org/10.21266/2079-4304.2023.245.159-174
Abstract
The world is experiencing rapid climate change, and forest growth rates in different climatic zones react differently to it. Understanding the driving forces of these different reactions is crucial for predicting forest dynamics under climate shifts. A common method of assessing forest productivity is the development of the dependence of the stand height upon the age, as well as the assessment of the site index characterized by the stand height at the base age. The dependence of the stand height upon the age began to be supplemented by the introduction of climatic variables into the model, in particular, temperature and precipitation. However, these models did not answer the question of how climate affects the productivity of stands, negatively or positively, but simply showed that the inclusion of climatic and other biophysical variables increases the adequacy of the model. The purpose of our study was (a) to develop a model of changes of average stand height in gradients of geographically distributed temperatures and precipitation on the territory of Eurasia using the materials of 256 sample plots with measured taxation indicators of stands of the genus Populus L. and (b) to show possible changes in average height due to hypothetical shifts in temperatures and precipitation. It has been established that in regions with sufficient moisture, the limiting factor for growth is the lack of heat, and in arid regions, the limiting factor changes, and excess heat becomes it. With an expected increase in January temperature by 1 C, the average height of stands in conditions of sufficient moisture can increase by 3–8%, and in conditions of insufficient moisture – decrease by 4–11%. Accordingly, in the case of a decrease in average annual precipitation by 20 mm in areas of lack of heat, the average height may increase by 2– 10%, and in regions of sufficient heat supply – decrease by 3–15%.
About the Authors
V. A. Usoltsev
Ural State Forest Engineering University; Botanical Garden, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
SOLTSEV Vladimir A. – DSc (Agriculture), professor of the Department of Forestry; chief researcher
620100. Sibirskiy Trakt str. 37. Yekaterinburg
I. S. Tsepordey
Botanical Garden of Ural Branch of RAS
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
TSEPORDEY Ivan S. – PhD (Agriculture), scientist
620144. 8 Marta str. 202a. Yekaterinburg
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Review
For citations:
Usoltsev V.A., Tsepordey I.S. Changes in the average height of aspen forests (genus Populus L.) in the climatic gradients of Eurasia. Izvestia Sankt-Peterburgskoj lesotehniceskoj akademii. 2023;(245):159-174. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21266/2079-4304.2023.245.159-174
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